Thursday 21 February 2013

Review of the day

Tim the Chair ran a reasonable race today – but wasn’t able to go with the leaders when things hotted up, 4 fences from home. No excuses – he just wasn’t good enough…

Unfortunately, that his been a familiar theme lately.
Gone are the hard luck stories and wrong borderline calls – replaced by horses that simply aren’t up to the task…

I’m honestly not sure what the issue is.
I feel that I’m picking the same kind of horses as I’ve done all season - but for some reason, they are just not performing well enough…

In truth, this is a seasonal game – and the importance of certain variables changes at certain times in the year.
I obviously try to adjust accordingly, but I’m clearly slightly out of step at the moment…

The good news, is that the situation shouldn’t last !
Like I say, things keep changing and as the better weather comes and the ground starts to quicken up, hopefully, my form will return.

Anyway, it was no better for todays mentions, than it was for the tip…
It was a wise decision to swerve Reasonable Force, who once again ran no sort of a race.
He wasn’t particularly strong in the betting – but he wasn’t outrageously weak either.
I thought it a strange move to settle him so far off the pace – but he was at least put in the race this time.
A watching brief remains the order of the day with him…

At Ayr, Kudu Country looked poised to make his move, when he made a shuddering mistake at the fifth last.
His jockey did well to stay aboard – but it effectively ended his chances.
I suspect that the next time we see him, it will be over hurdles…

Act of Kalanisi also made a nasty mistake at Huntingdon – though he was probably beaten at the time.
Whilst Katnapping managed to go one better (or worse, depending on your perspective) being brought down at the very first hurdle.
The pre-race drift on her was quite alarming. Out from 11/1 this morning to an SP of 20/1 (and 40+ on Betfair). Decanting your jockey at the first fence is always going to look a little suspicious when accompanied by those kind of market movements !

Things were no better at Clonmel, Anonis was pulled up after making mistakes in the novice hurdle, leaving our old friend Rathlin to run down the favourite, Unika La Reconce.
Beeverstown also hit the deck in the handicap chase. He was going well enough at the time, though it was too far out to know if he might have been involved in the finish.
Finally, Sandeel Bay ran a promising race in the beginners chase. He was ultimately well beaten, but moved quite nicely for much of the race - definitely building on his first run of the season.
He could ultimately be of interest in a low grade handicap…

All in all though, very much a day to forget !!
TVB.

2 comments:

  1. for whats its worth i dident think the jockey was anything special on tim the chair with reguard to his positioning at fences ect

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  2. I agree - but I wouldn't blame that for his defeat...
    At the end of the day, he is a 7lb claimer - you get the 7lb allowance for a reason.
    He may well have jumped better with a professional on board (depending on who it was, of course !) - but then he would have had to carry half a stone more...
    TVB.

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